Trump Approval Turns Negative in Iowa and Ohio as Voter Discontent Grows
Iowa and Ohio — both key states Donald Trump carried in the 2024 election — have now seen their approval ratings for the president drop below net positive, signaling a potential shift in voter sentiment ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Recent state-level polling from Morning Consult shows that in both Iowa and Ohio, more registered voters now disapprove than approve of Trump’s job performance, flipping these traditionally Republican-leaning states into net negative territory.
This marks a notable development in Trump’s second term. Trump carried Iowa with about 56 % of the vote and Ohio with around 55 % in 2024, yet recent data suggests a downward trend in support among voters there.
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Morning Consult’s approval tracker compiles daily surveys from September through November 2025 to estimate voter sentiment. In the latest update, the number of states where Trump’s net approval rating is above water has shrunk, with once-reliable red states slipping toward more disapproval.
“This demonstrates how fluid state-level sentiment can be even in states that lean strongly toward one party,” said a political analyst who tracks polling trends.
Why it matters: Approval ratings often serve as a bellwether for broader electoral enthusiasm. A net negative rating in states Trump once won could signal challenges for down-ballot Republicans and raise Democratic hopes in what were previously considered safe GOP areas.
Political strategists will be watching whether this pattern continues or if the president’s support rebounds as the 2026 midterm campaigns take shape.
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